AP Analysis: On enthusiasm, Democrats have advantage

August 10, 2018 - 4:34 pm

ATLANTA (AP) — Democratic voters were more enthusiastic than Republicans in nearly a dozen federal special elections since President Donald Trump took office, an Associated Press analysis found.

Election returns in nearly a dozen federal special elections show Democrats consistently drawing a larger share of the vote totals than the two parties could expect in a presidential election year when turnout is the greatest.

Republicans won most of the special elections. All but one of them occurred in heavily Republican territory. Democrats' enthusiasm gap made many of the margins much closer than expected.

That leaves the party confident that its voters are more excited ahead of the November midterms and that Democrats have an advantage with independents.

Special elections ahead of the 2010 midterms showed a similar excitement advantage for the GOP.

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